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Polymarket screwing over traders re Venezuela

“This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Un...
sepia new version
  01/06/26
get a life you fucking dork
Mint site turdskin
  01/06/26
get off this bort you closeted fag
sepia new version
  01/06/26
you really should do this. everyone here hates you and you ...
Mint site turdskin
  01/06/26
you are literally a closeted fag
sepia new version
  01/06/26
you literally are jewishly projecting yet again.
Mint site turdskin
  01/07/26
i don't see how this can be anything other than "yes&qu...
Shivering vermilion people who are hurt liquid oxygen
  01/06/26
LMAO we "controlled" their POTUS into a fucking bl...
fear-inspiring cobalt school cafeteria
  01/06/26
It's fraud they need to pay out
startled jew brethren
  01/06/26
The market is about an "invasion." It's about taki...
free-loading quadroon
  01/06/26
The US controls the territory of Venezuela. The purpose of a...
multi-colored cuck famous landscape painting
  01/06/26
Which "portion" (see the definition in the link) d...
free-loading quadroon
  01/06/26
Polymarket doesn't say the US has to control it with the int...
startled jew brethren
  01/06/26
The market is for an invasion. The definition requires estab...
free-loading quadroon
  01/06/26
https://civil-protection-humanitarian-aid.ec.europa.eu/sites...
multi-colored cuck famous landscape painting
  01/06/26
The entire "portion" of Venezuela. The US controls...
multi-colored cuck famous landscape painting
  01/06/26
seems like an easy "No". they dont and didnt inten...
Flickering hunting ground useless brakes
  01/06/26
(Peter Thiel)
sepia new version
  01/06/26
yes its not like orange man said we run it now
Internet-worthy rehab
  01/06/26
I say I run Cambodia. They appear to disagree.
stimulating mediation degenerate
  01/06/26
Who does Polymarket think is the relevant authority on this?...
startled jew brethren
  01/06/26
usually they say “a consensus of credible reporting&rd...
sepia new version
  01/06/26
...
free-loading quadroon
  01/06/26
cr
cruel-hearted laughsome nowag
  01/06/26
...
Charismatic factory reset button
  01/07/26
IRL Topicality moment
180 trust fund regret
  01/06/26
...
fuchsia racy kitty cat antidepressant drug
  01/06/26
companies pay a small army of professional wordcels to exhau...
costumed dingle berry
  01/06/26
It's not vague. The US intended to control Maduro's estate w...
startled jew brethren
  01/06/26
(guy who no longer has $1,600)
costumed dingle berry
  01/06/26
...
Flickering hunting ground useless brakes
  01/06/26
...
diverse main people milk
  01/07/26
It's ambiguous on purpose so they can Jew people over after ...
walnut point circlehead
  01/06/26
...
multi-colored cuck famous landscape painting
  01/06/26
There's no ambiguity. Polymarket made a valid offer. The ter...
startled jew brethren
  01/06/26
Obvious yes But this is why you don't bet on stuff like t...
multi-colored cuck famous landscape painting
  01/06/26
This is a crystal clear "No." What's the counterar...
free-loading quadroon
  01/06/26
cr, not a close call imo
Flickering hunting ground useless brakes
  01/06/26
Trump said the US would now run Venezuela. It’s so cle...
sepia new version
  01/06/26
The market isn't what wild things Trump says. (He also said ...
free-loading quadroon
  01/06/26
Narrator: "In fact, it did just happen two days ago.&qu...
multi-colored cuck famous landscape painting
  01/06/26
This is shitlib semantics. The actual verbiage says "co...
startled jew brethren
  01/06/26
this. it was a military offensive intended to establish cont...
Shivering vermilion people who are hurt liquid oxygen
  01/06/26
Under US law we damn sure exercised control over several acr...
startled jew brethren
  01/06/26
So Polymarket can call Trump a liar but Hampton Inn can't ma...
startled jew brethren
  01/06/26
are degenerate gamblers actually whining that their gambling...
Transparent partner depressive
  01/06/26
the thing is there are people on both sides of the trade so ...
sepia new version
  01/06/26
If there was a breaking news report that “the us is in...
Heady emerald mood business firm
  01/06/26
His house was invaded (briefly)
thriller cerise spot legal warrant
  01/06/26
...
thriller cerise spot legal warrant
  01/06/26
I'm 100% on Polymarket's side here.
Aphrodisiac Jap Knife
  01/06/26
I was, too, until uh oh convinced me otherwise
thriller cerise spot legal warrant
  01/07/26
Kalishi screwing over bettors on 49ers game https://x.com...
sepia new version
  01/07/26
now this is just a straight up scam
Flickering hunting ground useless brakes
  01/07/26
Is Polymarket still fucking over its users?
startled jew brethren
  01/07/26
Just made 60,000 dollars
fuchsia racy kitty cat antidepressant drug
  01/07/26
?
thriller cerise spot legal warrant
  01/07/26
i can't believe any lawyer would agree with "no" h...
Shivering vermilion people who are hurt liquid oxygen
  01/07/26
...
thriller cerise spot legal warrant
  01/10/26
...
UN peacekeeper
  03/05/26


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 3:52 PM
Author: sepia new version

“This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

“This market refers to U.S. military operations intended to establish control. President Trump’s statement that they will “run” Venezuela while referencing ongoing talks with the Venezuelan government does not alone qualify the snatch-and-extract mission to capture Maduro as an invasion.”

https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-venezuela-in-2025?tid=1767732697146

https://x.com/trader_53/status/2008545328824549664?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567156)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 4:35 PM
Author: Mint site turdskin

get a life you fucking dork

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567289)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 4:42 PM
Author: sepia new version

get off this bort you closeted fag

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567303)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 4:44 PM
Author: Mint site turdskin

you really should do this. everyone here hates you and you are a dick chopping tranny retard pedophile. the world would be better off if you'd just go away once and for all.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567306)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 5:03 PM
Author: sepia new version

you are literally a closeted fag

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567363)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 7th, 2026 9:45 AM
Author: Mint site turdskin

you literally are jewishly projecting yet again.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49568632)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 3:56 PM
Author: Shivering vermilion people who are hurt liquid oxygen

i don't see how this can be anything other than "yes". they defined it pretty broadly.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567168)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 4:29 PM
Author: fear-inspiring cobalt school cafeteria

LMAO we "controlled" their POTUS into a fucking black bag what kind of bullshit is this

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567271)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 4:56 PM
Author: startled jew brethren

It's fraud they need to pay out

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567336)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 5:35 PM
Author: free-loading quadroon

The market is about an "invasion." It's about taking and controlling territory. That hasn't happened. It still might by the end of the month.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567449)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 5:41 PM
Author: multi-colored cuck famous landscape painting

The US controls the territory of Venezuela. The purpose of abducting its head of state was to establish control of Venezuela. The operation was successful

You are confusing the words "control" and "occupy"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567472)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 5:43 PM
Author: free-loading quadroon

Which "portion" (see the definition in the link) does the US control? The US doesn't control Venezuela via an invasion any more than the US uses its power to influence a lot of countries.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567477)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 5:45 PM
Author: startled jew brethren

Polymarket doesn't say the US has to control it with the intent to deprive Venezuela of that territory. Even a peppercorn of time is enough.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567484)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 5:47 PM
Author: free-loading quadroon

The market is for an invasion. The definition requires establishing control of a portion of territory.

Could you point on a map to which portion of Venezuelan territory the US invaded with the intent to control? You're right that it could be a small portion.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567491)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 5:49 PM
Author: multi-colored cuck famous landscape painting

https://civil-protection-humanitarian-aid.ec.europa.eu/sites/default/files/styles/oe_theme_medium_no_crop/public/2019-02/venezuela_en.png?itok=aeBbLnHe

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567497)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 5:48 PM
Author: multi-colored cuck famous landscape painting

The entire "portion" of Venezuela. The US controls the country of Venezuela, as a statement of fact, as demonstrated by the fact that it can simply remove its nominal political "head of state" at will, whenever it wants, as it just did

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567492)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 4:33 PM
Author: Flickering hunting ground useless brakes

seems like an easy "No". they dont and didnt intend to control any area of Venezuela, they captured its president and are pressuring the current government to do their will.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567286)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 4:43 PM
Author: sepia new version

(Peter Thiel)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567304)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 4:44 PM
Author: Internet-worthy rehab

yes its not like orange man said we run it now

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567305)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 4:50 PM
Author: stimulating mediation degenerate

I say I run Cambodia. They appear to disagree.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567316)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 4:57 PM
Author: startled jew brethren

Who does Polymarket think is the relevant authority on this? Maduro?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567341)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 5:01 PM
Author: sepia new version

usually they say “a consensus of credible reporting” but they removed that language since it would make it harder to screw over their traders

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567356)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 5:43 PM
Author: free-loading quadroon



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567479)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 7:35 PM
Author: cruel-hearted laughsome nowag

cr

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567713)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 7th, 2026 8:45 AM
Author: Charismatic factory reset button



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49568504)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 4:45 PM
Author: 180 trust fund regret

IRL Topicality moment

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567307)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 4:54 PM
Author: fuchsia racy kitty cat antidepressant drug



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567330)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 4:56 PM
Author: costumed dingle berry

companies pay a small army of professional wordcels to exhaustively draft out the terms of selling you toilet paper, and they still leave ambiguities. why would anyone ever expect that degens gambling on geopolitical upheavals described in a blurb with no transparency or accountability would be a good idea?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567334)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 4:59 PM
Author: startled jew brethren

It's not vague. The US intended to control Maduro's estate when it arrested him, and the estate is located in Venezuela. Even if the control was only fleeting, it damn sure wasn't unintentional

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567348)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 5:02 PM
Author: costumed dingle berry

(guy who no longer has $1,600)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567360)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 5:13 PM
Author: Flickering hunting ground useless brakes



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567396)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 7th, 2026 6:19 AM
Author: diverse main people milk



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49568389)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 5:57 PM
Author: walnut point circlehead

It's ambiguous on purpose so they can Jew people over after the fact. It's a feature.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567517)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 6:00 PM
Author: multi-colored cuck famous landscape painting



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567526)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 6:11 PM
Author: startled jew brethren

There's no ambiguity. Polymarket made a valid offer. The terms are clear.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567542)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 5:01 PM
Author: multi-colored cuck famous landscape painting

Obvious yes

But this is why you don't bet on stuff like this tbh. I wouldn't even put a substantial sum of money on an election on these platforms. You always run the risk of some Jewish bullshit like this

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567354)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 5:33 PM
Author: free-loading quadroon

This is a crystal clear "No." What's the counterargument that isn't just based on feelings?

The market is "Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?" And they define "invasion" as "a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela."

Dropping some special ops in for a limited time to extract the president is far from an invasion--i.e., an "offensive intended to establish control over" over territory. If there were boots on the ground to take and hold territory, it would be another thing. But there are not and have not been.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567445)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 5:35 PM
Author: Flickering hunting ground useless brakes

cr, not a close call imo

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567451)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 5:37 PM
Author: sepia new version

Trump said the US would now run Venezuela. It’s so clear that they even had to address it in their statement screwing people over. There must’ve been a huge whale or polymarket insider on the other side of that trade

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567465)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 5:45 PM
Author: free-loading quadroon

The market isn't what wild things Trump says. (He also said we're going to "lock Her up." Where are we on that?)

The market is for an invasion controlling Venezuelan territory. That hasn't happened.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567485)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 5:48 PM
Author: multi-colored cuck famous landscape painting

Narrator: "In fact, it did just happen two days ago."

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567493)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 5:49 PM
Author: startled jew brethren

This is shitlib semantics. The actual verbiage says "commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela." Trump doesn't have to actually run anything, he only has to commence a military offensive with that intent. Having actual control is sufficient but not NECESSARY to prove intent.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567498)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 5:54 PM
Author: Shivering vermilion people who are hurt liquid oxygen

this. it was a military offensive intended to establish control over caracas generally and at the very least maduro's residence for however long it was necessary in order to capture him.

the issue here is "control" and the time period it takes to constitute it. polymarket thought they were describing something more permanent and substantial, but they didn't spell that out and i think it's hard to argue that landing a bunch of helicopters into maduro's front yard, killing his security guards, and forcibly removing him wasn't taking "control" of his house which is a "portion" of venezuela. "intent" is there the minute you give the order.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567509)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 5:57 PM
Author: startled jew brethren

Under US law we damn sure exercised control over several acres of land in Venezuela for a period of some several minutes, and not by accident

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567514)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 5:47 PM
Author: startled jew brethren

So Polymarket can call Trump a liar but Hampton Inn can't make DHS pay full price for hotel rooms?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567489)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 6:10 PM
Author: Transparent partner depressive

are degenerate gamblers actually whining that their gambling platform is being legalistic and dishonest? LOL.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567539)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 7:20 PM
Author: sepia new version

the thing is there are people on both sides of the trade so it doesn’t really make sense for polymarket to screw over their users. they’re just a bookie. unless a polymarket insider or whale with connections was on the other side of the trade and pulled some strings. either way what they’re doing is dishonest. at a minimum they should not have titled the market “invade” if sending the military into foreign sovereign territory and arresting its president doesn’t count.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567682)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 7:31 PM
Author: Heady emerald mood business firm

If there was a breaking news report that “the us is invading Venezuela” no one would be like “but that already happened”.

The common sense version says this wasn’t an invasion and nothing in their terms is enough to override that.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567704)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 8:15 PM
Author: thriller cerise spot legal warrant

His house was invaded (briefly)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567813)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 8:11 PM
Author: thriller cerise spot legal warrant



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567795)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2026 8:17 PM
Author: Aphrodisiac Jap Knife

I'm 100% on Polymarket's side here.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49567818)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 7th, 2026 5:48 AM
Author: thriller cerise spot legal warrant

I was, too, until uh oh convinced me otherwise

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49568381)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 7th, 2026 7:59 AM
Author: sepia new version

Kalishi screwing over bettors on 49ers game

https://x.com/dustingouker/status/2008748429024133125?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49568440)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 7th, 2026 8:16 AM
Author: Flickering hunting ground useless brakes

now this is just a straight up scam

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49568452)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 7th, 2026 8:18 AM
Author: startled jew brethren

Is Polymarket still fucking over its users?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49568453)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 7th, 2026 10:16 AM
Author: fuchsia racy kitty cat antidepressant drug

Just made 60,000 dollars

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49568707)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 7th, 2026 10:29 AM
Author: thriller cerise spot legal warrant

?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49568727)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 7th, 2026 10:30 AM
Author: Shivering vermilion people who are hurt liquid oxygen

i can't believe any lawyer would agree with "no" here. the terms are so broad even a child could make a reasonable argument for "yes".

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49568730)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 10th, 2026 10:01 PM
Author: thriller cerise spot legal warrant



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49579920)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 5th, 2026 1:46 PM
Author: UN peacekeeper



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5818025&forum_id=2#49718047)